TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c13,957$6,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,211.1498844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over56c12,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,719.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+69.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over57c9,567$5,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,453.411643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over56c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.9812055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under48c6,370$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,286.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under44c5,115$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under43c3,170$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c2,300$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31119345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over27c1,414$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.782025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c1,279$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.2414755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over38c1,277$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.583234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under43c1,257$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under43c1,229$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over56c998.12$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under44c931.22$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.831770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over59c905.87$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over17c860.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.762512%3 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c574.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.6443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over36c573.41$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.825129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over52c550.87$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over47c500.23$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.912138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under76c404.17$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.542470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over52c362.83$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under66c332.08$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.822652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over45c329.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under55c303$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3511858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under42c299.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.943354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c250.03$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9234937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Under43c248.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3b…2293backed Over57c244.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under79c244.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.089065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over40c237.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c225.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over58c215$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…8151backed Over55c210$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c188.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4519849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Over58c170.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over58c168.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Under44c163.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under43c161.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+86.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over46c149.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under76c149.07$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c145$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8510837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Over57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over37c136.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7813149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under44c132.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.659257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under67c127$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.594843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under42c124.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.491471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.388048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under43c114.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.962454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under43c114.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.997048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over56c114$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over26c111.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.72948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over57c102.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under50c100.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb2…9e4ebacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91b1…6eedbacked Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under44c98.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.261844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over43c92.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.822352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under42c89.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.582060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under43c88.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under42c86.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2610448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under44c85.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under43c82.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.23953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c82.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6632453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c81.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9911940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bb…a44cbacked Over21c80.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Under79c69.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under43c66.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.551752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under45c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c61.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.011376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Under44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed Over41c56.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked Under64c56.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.