TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,598 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c6,606$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,730.0798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over52c2,109$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.342025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c1,999$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.42025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under37c1,553$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.45129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over52c1,413$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.2614060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over76c1,307$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.53729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c1,182$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.1843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Under22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+191.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over49c657.71$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.232512%3 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c536.21$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2134937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over44c500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c394$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.864843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under25c392.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick19cpaid+280%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over27c349.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over57c329.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c318.37$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3622652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under37c306.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3414951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffec…af34backed Under26c304.05$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e6…a350backed Over74c304.05$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+92.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88cd…3f5bbacked Over74c290.24$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9a…572bbacked Under26c290.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under49c286.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.482650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under73c286.36$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7330954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over57c262.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over38c257.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over51c248.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under21c244.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7913243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under19c235.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7614755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over69c220$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over71c196.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Under59c172.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over59c167.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9a…cd64backed Over54c138.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over75c133$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over41c124.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.596823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under38c124$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.882948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Over79c121.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over75c121$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.192458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under21c110.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+86.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under46c105.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.232142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over65c101.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over56c100.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-73.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…8151backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under20c99.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.941656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over70c96.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under20c93.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.928747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over79c92.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.341540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over71c80.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.28361.4%51 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under53c76.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.058048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under61c74.89$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over29c69.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Under30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404540%18 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over49c62.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd1…7ceabacked Under65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over52c59.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under25c58.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.55837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Over53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+83%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over54c51.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over47c48.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6470%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeddb…e7cebacked Over61c47.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked Under44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Over53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over67c42.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.550%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Under46c40.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over31c39.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1750%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under64c37.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.642642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over47c34.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.383754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9194…2ee1backed Over61c34.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Under47c33.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Over80c31.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under51c31.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.223141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae5…40e1backed Over79c25.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under45c24.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over80c20.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over80c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5540…eff4backed Over54c19.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over64c18.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Over80c18.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Under72c18.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.482352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Over75c16.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over80c14.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Over80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.