TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac9a…cd64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigre 2: Miguel Damas vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+172.1%+$173.18
Lugano: Mika Brunold vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$154.1
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Pune: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66
Antalya: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lugano: Petr Brunclik vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$70.58
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarina Zavatskabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Lugano: August Holmgren vs Mika Brunoldbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$94.83
Pune: Sumit Nagal vs Felix Gillbacked Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.6%+$14.2
Antalya: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+64.4%+$58.03
Pune: Masamichi Imamura vs Jay Clarkebacked Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
Set 1 Winner: Crawford vs Ivashkabacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+121.3%+$63.08
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Pegulabacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5)backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.8%+$48.41
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.6%+$122.61
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group Cbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.34
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$44.13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$39.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+219.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$79.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$73.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$95.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$125.1
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+54.8%+$66.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$16.75
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+50.5%+$22.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.