CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39595b9c3c828678968c2cee35f704c041b3152971ec1c21134dc9cc29f640c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed TDK | 43c | 6,027$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.75 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 5,569$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.68 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed TDK | 28c | 4,888$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.45 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked TDK | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed TDK | 57c | 399.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 291.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 259$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 59c | 244.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 196.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed TDK | 51c | 185$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed TDK | 57c | 139.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed TDK | 52c | 103.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 21c | 101.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…8592backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 95.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed TDK | 52c | 93.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed TDK | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 44.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TDK | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group StageMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.