TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, TDK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT39c12,457$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,615.833,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed TDK39c8,001$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.6926046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed TDK62c4,290$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.9112359.3%73 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT36c2,300$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.091,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed TDK55c2,166$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.8819549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed TDK69c2,133$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.544548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ NXT78c2,077$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.911,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9958…36b9backed MOUZ NXT65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed TDK74c1,665$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.17875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked MOUZ NXT58c1,093$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.956544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked TDK66c942.13$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.74647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed MOUZ NXT56c887.62$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.4411343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked MOUZ NXT39c854$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.621737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed TDK33c816.88$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.998535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT52c812.75$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.197,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed TDK65c779.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.4361654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed TDK58c775.2$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.461,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed MOUZ NXT61c748.58$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2818943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed TDK67c745.57$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT34c736.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.95,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed MOUZ NXT71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed TDK34c684.94$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8939851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ NXT35c635.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0727348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TDK53c604.97$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.24,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ NXT36c565$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6545357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT34c554.89$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.766,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1c…5c3dbacked MOUZ NXT64c550.48$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed MOUZ NXT57c500$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8429840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed MOUZ NXT42c473.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3812446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1b…15a3backed MOUZ NXT43c466.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed TDK66c455.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked MOUZ NXT80c433$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.446243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed TDK61c375.62$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1315442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked TDK57c359.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1913540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked TDK61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed TDK63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed TDK62c311.38$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2538839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ed…4ec5backed MOUZ NXT28c308.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.795630.4%17 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked MOUZ NXT33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0310331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed MOUZ NXT32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20410053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ NXT54c287.93$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3869863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabe6…ea6fbacked MOUZ NXT73c278.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT37c263.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.661,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9a…cd64backed TDK39c254$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a7…e89dbacked TDK71c253.63$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed MOUZ NXT39c253.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.383534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5245…37e3backed MOUZ NXT68c248.34$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.03650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ NXT43c233.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2658149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed TDK50c228.3$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.071,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked MOUZ NXT34c204.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.285738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ NXT54c202.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.996743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked MOUZ NXT76c201.71$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked MOUZ NXT38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12449849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b9…0e4dbacked MOUZ NXT59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.29560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…dbeebacked TDK55c181.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddae…7d66backed TDK55c161.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed MOUZ NXT37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.819247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd572…5510backed MOUZ NXT34c159.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.683554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed MOUZ NXT35c155$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7518041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed TDK63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.59251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x154f…da56backed TDK29c142.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.641040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed TDK76c138.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c6…17c0backed MOUZ NXT37c134.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed TDK77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed TDK61c124.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6221156.9%120 W · 91 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed TDK66c124.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…c346backed MOUZ NXT70c124.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.231258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed TDK42c123.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0696049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed TDK22c123.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278748.3%42 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed MOUZ NXT33c115$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0538131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff24…af32backed TDK37c111.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.851741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed MOUZ NXT29c111.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.383348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed MOUZ NXT46c108.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5922843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed MOUZ NXT42c104.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.681428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f3d…d5bbbacked MOUZ NXT42c100.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ NXT68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3220462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed TDK35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3592152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed TDK60c99.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TDK29c97.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.092,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked TDK43c92.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT51c87.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.435,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072b…3431backed TDK36c82.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked MOUZ NXT67c79.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.338770.1%61 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed TDK65c76.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed TDK35c67.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5224535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1986…8842backed TDK70c62.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f20…067fbacked MOUZ NXT33c60.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ NXT39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed TDK36c58.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed TDK62c58.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed MOUZ NXT38c55.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3316750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked TDK63c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.651,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed TDK22c51.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.365427.8%15 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed MOUZ NXT28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617f…cde5backed TDK80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402552%13 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed MOUZ NXT60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed MOUZ NXT66c45.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.528149.4%40 W · 41 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99fd…a67fbacked TDK75c41.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed TDK47c40.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6541054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked TDK37c39.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6172451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.