CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849d0bf506069ac0374e4f459f4a0a9be6e5a15e03bd2e838238b797c1bdba90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof MOUZ NXT, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 2,956$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.97 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…17c0backed MOUZ NXT | 1c | 2,576$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked MOUZ NXT | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TDK | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 749 | 56.7%425 W · 324 L | +47.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 58c | 844.23$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.83 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 676.5$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 509.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…a748backed MOUZ NXT | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 427.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TDK | 47c | 425.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked TDK | 41c | 382$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 327.95$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked TDK | 54c | 278.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed TDK | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 249.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked TDK | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 159.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…af32backed MOUZ NXT | 13c | 126.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 45c | 120.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 102.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked TDK | 50c | 99.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 95.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TDK | 65c | 72.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TDK | 53c | 68.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TDK | 37c | 45.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed TDK | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 33.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 956 | 49.7%475 W · 481 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed TDK | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…471ebacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 30.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…da56backed TDK | 38c | 27.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed TDK | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 391 | 45.8%179 W · 212 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group StageMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.