Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Miguel Damas vs Gianluca Cadenasso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9e98319b82dac2ebd21fd5f73b90079d019c68dd229972d4b3a42a7cae1c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miguel Damasof Miguel Damas, Gianluca Cadenasso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Miguel Damas | 45c | 5,665$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.91 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 7c | 2,518$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 7c | 1,759$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Damas | 77c | 1,656$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Miguel Damas | 45c | 1,448$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.07 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 999$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 21c | 895.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 15c | 883.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 792.82$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.13 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 16c | 778.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Miguel Damas | 46c | 700$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 13c | 698.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 40c | 686.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.74 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 65c | 619.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 52c | 552$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.09 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 529.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 12c | 409.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Miguel Damas | 69c | 400$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 15c | 369.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…0d96backed Miguel Damas | 46c | 355.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 353.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…2baebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 351.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 341$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 322$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 294$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 25c | 284.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed Miguel Damas | 37c | 273.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Miguel Damas | 46c | 269.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 32c | 234.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Miguel Damas | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed Miguel Damas | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Miguel Damas | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 203.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 53c | 194$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 30c | 189.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 36c | 176.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 165.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 32c | 156.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 32c | 148.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 136.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Miguel Damas | 46c | 131.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 32c | 128.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Miguel Damas | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 56c | 124.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 118$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Miguel Damas | 47c | 105.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Miguel Damas | 69c | 103.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miguel Damas | 45c | 100.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Miguel Damas | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Miguel Damas | 46c | 93.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 29c | 92.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 74.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Miguel Damas | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Miguel Damas | 46c | 52.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 49.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Miguel Damas | 70c | 42.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Miguel Damas | 78c | 41.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…be43backed Miguel Damas | 71c | 38.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Miguel Damas | 33c | 37.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Miguel Damas | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 28.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…2bfdbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Miguel Damas | 65c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Miguel Damas | 77c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…65debacked Miguel Damas | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigre 2: Miguel Damas vs Gianluca Cadenassothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Damas vs CadenassoDamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.