TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metizportof Johnny Speeds, Metizport
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Johnny Speeds29c2,035$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.053,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Johnny Speeds60c1,974$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.3727348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Metizport68c1,605$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.172,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Metizport51c1,559$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.239058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Johnny Speeds24c1,294$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.162,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Metizport32c1,023$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.8211249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Metizport60c1,000$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.164,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Johnny Speeds68c814.48$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.511646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ed…4ec5backed Johnny Speeds20c809.18$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585630.4%17 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Metizport34c732.25$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.195,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport41c684.37$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.027,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Johnny Speeds45c656.43$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.721,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Johnny Speeds66c635.37$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2987244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Metizport33c628.97$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.5413540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Johnny Speeds66c608.73$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds38c606.95$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.396,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Johnny Speeds50c478$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23912946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Johnny Speeds68c469.43$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1138739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Johnny Speeds8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Johnny Speeds51c390.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Metizport57c375.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.661,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Metizport57c309.86$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Johnny Speeds65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Johnny Speeds46c307$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9824641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac9a…cd64backed Johnny Speeds42c276.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed Johnny Speeds9c219.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Johnny Speeds8c201.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1918536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Johnny Speeds37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7418943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Johnny Speeds65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5419…fcb2backed Johnny Speeds35c190.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.081855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds36c184.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.395,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Johnny Speeds51c172$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7212344.7%55 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Johnny Speeds49c154.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked Johnny Speeds65c154.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Metizport49c149$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.221,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Johnny Speeds12c138.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.044714.9%7 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Johnny Speeds12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-60.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Johnny Speeds48c119.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Metizport34c102.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7618041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Johnny Speeds33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Metizport34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6624633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Metizport51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045937.3%22 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4723…5687backed Metizport59c84.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d7…615fbacked Metizport52c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.082240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds26c67.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Johnny Speeds62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Johnny Speeds54c61.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586e…2430backed Johnny Speeds56c53.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe291…c2c9backed Johnny Speeds47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.156765.7%44 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x072b…3431backed Metizport39c50.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Metizport67c50.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6641054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Johnny Speeds54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.884136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Metizport40c49.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6829840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Johnny Speeds41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Johnny Speeds48c47.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Johnny Speeds41c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5569732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Metizport72c44.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Metizport59c42.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2914950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Metizport49c41.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Johnny Speeds61c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3511242%47 W · 65 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd641…1ba1backed Johnny Speeds46c34.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed Johnny Speeds42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8613847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe358…6878backed Johnny Speeds63c30.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Johnny Speeds67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf233…c62cbacked Metizport59c27.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e4…10c9backed Johnny Speeds49c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Metizport62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Metizport79c22.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd280…54f4backed Johnny Speeds67c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…0143backed Johnny Speeds68c15.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd17…c8f4backed Metizport64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632085%17 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ebe…3835backed Johnny Speeds68c14.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.4wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-58%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.