TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c11,609$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c6,972$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.171,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes6c3,300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes50c2,000$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.753661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes24c1,830$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.193732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes30c1,668$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes16c1,432$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Yes28c1,400$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…337ebacked Yes19c1,295$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.994866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c967.21$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No80c875.2$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes38c734$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9611667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf9a…2529backed Yes19c699.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c650.73$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes28c644.82$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes53c630$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.94136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No72c596.59$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.814347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No65c468$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.459627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes48c381.82$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5714936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes25c379.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+77.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes19c378.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.862231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes47c361.45$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.553240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes32c344.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.32222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No75c324.68$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.171782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No57c320$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No50c315$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed No67c311.76$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes18c306.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c305.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes31c274.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes55c263.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb5…f40fbacked Yes19c257.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x137a…636dbacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No68c239.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.617058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9a…cd64backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes30c232.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes20c220.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.871723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…d755backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52a6…c405backed Yes20c206.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d5b…c301backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes26c192.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e1…cddabacked Yes20c191.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Yes10c180$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes43c176.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x112c…1227backed Yes20c176.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes20c152.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc661…ba6bbacked Yes19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes18c146$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes17c141.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Yes51c137.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c135.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5620749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7da…37ddbacked Yes18c127.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae0…a203backed Yes29c124.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No66c122.84$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.714753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes18c114.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.38147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-75.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes18c113.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes18c111.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5816219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes47c109.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes26c106.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7123244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…62e6backed Yes30c104.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No78c102$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Yes29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.170%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes20c83.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4614845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes19c78.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes19c78.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8310451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No67c67.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9894…65debacked Yes53c66.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.232080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c03…70d1backed No68c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+94%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c5…c346backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c47.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No55c46.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.767462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No68c42.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes33c41.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.