TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$483,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes73c103,898$75,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,845.278743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No27c50,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,5006437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No26c29,932$7,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,149.723839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No29c27,690$8,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,660.196346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No26c26,750$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,816.035738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes74c17,644$13,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,132.7448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c17,511$6,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,649.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes73c17,090$12,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,494.0468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c13,871$7,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,519.971,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes1c12,554$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.552222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No27c10,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,249.92339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes73c9,367$6,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,837.981872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No37c8,278$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.4311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No27c7,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4751827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No26c7,357$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.039952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No26c6,684$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.16837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No27c6,505$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,728.364837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Yes72c5,964$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.81681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+117.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No29c5,445$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.935641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes72c5,400$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,89445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes71c5,124$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.1940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c5,009$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.272714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.186245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes53c4,917$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.897656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No27c4,774$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.2912153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c4,659$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.4449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes72c4,647$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.388042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No28c4,500$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2351631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes74c4,344$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.477444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.984860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes74c3,959$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.953158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes62c3,922$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No26c3,881$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.944553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Yes60c3,841$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.72860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Yes57c3,400$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c3,076$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.3632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c3,038$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.4393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes60c3,023$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8206850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes72c2,995$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9122348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes73c2,924$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.1316046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes64c2,847$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.751070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes72c2,778$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes72c2,764$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6733357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes13c2,627$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.256132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No27c2,285$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.193026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes72c2,083$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No29c2,069$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes74c2,015$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.8898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.9812657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No42c1,954$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.5134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No26c1,950$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4431428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No27c1,899$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.852552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes70c1,817$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2774447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No26c1,780$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.5441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No26c1,731$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.764445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes21c1,700$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9817538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No27c1,687$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.4440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No28c1,677$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes52c1,614$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83412731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes2c1,519$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3916819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes66c1,511$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.143571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No26c1,500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes50c1,500$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7516863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes46c1,474$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.2121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Yes52c1,400$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7263050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…337ebacked Yes74c1,364$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes60c1,329$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes57c1,275$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes72c1,266$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.0626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes52c1,244$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…62e6backed Yes74c1,041$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b4…2607backed Yes61c999.99$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No43c997.2$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.43271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes62c900$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No26c900$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6661136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb335…7df1backed Yes66c896.45$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes56c892.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.073250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes45c885.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5922055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes69c799.99$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.994447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes45c788.99$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.043043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x767c…9aadbacked No27c769$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fe…70eebacked No26c750$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5552100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+647.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No26c750$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5555518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c743.74$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1820749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes72c713.89$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5144254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73b…9766backed Yes74c700$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes74c700$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes31c690.1$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.059440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.