TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x767c…9aad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Bluesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.33
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.34
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.18
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.19
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$44.11
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$199.33
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$40.81
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$125.97
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39.39
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$58.11
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$45.5
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$48.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$49.59
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$48.45
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$97.6
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
Miami Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$44.13
Miami Open, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.51
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48.53
BNP Paribas Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+316.7%+$387.03
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.63
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$91.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$242.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+433.3%+$509.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.39
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.62
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$597
LoL: DMG Esports vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffsbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$408.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+89.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$303.77
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+270.4%+$561.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.