Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5e4809fa8a8dfae716b2d36f91c175a66556bd69b6017fd83e1fcdbb0306c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Dammof Martin Damm, Jacob Fearnley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Martin Damm | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jacob Fearnley | 4c | 9,535$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.7 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Martin Damm | 49c | 7,684$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.1 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Martin Damm | 50c | 6,435$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.54 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 32c | 4,432$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.12 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 3,714$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.54 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Jacob Fearnley | 16c | 3,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 3,140$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 2,801$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.36 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…d09bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 2,486$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Martin Damm | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 1,692$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.05 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 1,606$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.79 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Jacob Fearnley | 42c | 1,395$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.74 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martin Damm | 76c | 1,011$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Martin Damm | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 984.01$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.65 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 49c | 973.2$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Martin Damm | 47c | 827.14$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.32 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 770.63$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.73 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 754.76$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Martin Damm | 43c | 708.44$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.81 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Martin Damm | 46c | 657.38$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Martin Damm | 78c | 649.64$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 48c | 557.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Jacob Fearnley | 45c | 553.17$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martin Damm | 51c | 537.94$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 510.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Martin Damm | 45c | 507.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Martin Damm | 47c | 438.34$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Martin Damm | 49c | 408.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.51 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martin Damm | 43c | 383.35$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Martin Damm | 52c | 382.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martin Damm | 72c | 344.64$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Martin Damm | 45c | 245.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jacob Fearnley | 41c | 231.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Martin Damm | 54c | 229.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 224.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Martin Damm | 49c | 218.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Martin Damm | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jacob Fearnley | 49c | 205.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 18c | 205$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Jacob Fearnley | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Martin Damm | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed Martin Damm | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…f55ebacked Martin Damm | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Martin Damm | 50c | 199.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Martin Damm | 50c | 199.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…3138backed Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 192.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martin Damm | 44c | 169.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jacob Fearnley | 22c | 165.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Martin Damm | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…cc72backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Martin Damm | 44c | 142.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jacob Fearnley | 47c | 132.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 125.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Jacob Fearnley | 17c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Jacob Fearnley | 51c | 114.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Martin Damm | 45c | 109.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Jacob Fearnley | 53c | 100.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Martin Damm | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacob Fearnley | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Martin Damm | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Martin Damm | 44c | 97.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jacob Fearnley | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnleythis page
- Damm vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.