TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$857,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,315 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,071 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets54c91,228$49,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,432.6667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets52c80,201$41,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,702.6748545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings48c77,321$37,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,207.0340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings51c72,547$36,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,801.011,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets54c50,395$27,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,202.321,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kings45c37,626$17,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,541.8726849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings48c31,172$14,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,223.0456152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings48c28,025$13,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,572.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Blue Jackets55c18,347$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Blue Jackets52c13,192$6,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,893.2512838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings41c12,158$4,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,191.382,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings46c9,660$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,216.436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings48c9,242$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,805.826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kings56c9,001$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,001.4831550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets52c8,994$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Blue Jackets59c7,575$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50014654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b60…c2b9backed Kings52c7,248$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee8…7336backed Blue Jackets48c7,149$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings44c7,041$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.8222747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings44c6,916$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.821,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings47c6,500$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe1…ea1abacked Blue Jackets51c6,422$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings49c5,636$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.711,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…b3fcbacked Kings53c5,559$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dd…b88ebacked Blue Jackets47c5,493$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blue Jackets50c5,312$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.7747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3327…d080backed Blue Jackets51c5,010$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Blue Jackets58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9715749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Kings48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9727548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…b735backed Blue Jackets53c4,342$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Kings48c4,159$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.649052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kings47c3,927$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.2257157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f1…e373backed Blue Jackets47c3,750$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7752556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Blue Jackets41c3,659$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Kings57c3,400$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4625959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings43c3,287$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.411,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets52c3,135$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.531,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings47c3,116$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.891,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac49…6e44backed Kings53c3,010$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…31aabacked Blue Jackets47c3,001$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9939752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55dd…8f7cbacked Blue Jackets48c2,953$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings42c2,874$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c0a…03f0backed Kings52c2,865$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets18c2,806$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets26c2,774$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.7499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…1173backed Blue Jackets58c2,756$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.672755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3a…44eebacked Kings49c2,698$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Blue Jackets27c2,678$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.4121158.8%124 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Kings48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kings42c2,375$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.543456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blue Jackets51c2,375$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.141,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b7…fecfbacked Blue Jackets52c2,329$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f5…82bdbacked Kings49c2,300$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a8e…ddfcbacked Blue Jackets47c2,233$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd3…8debbacked Kings53c2,218$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86dc…0da4backed Blue Jackets53c2,209$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…3bfdbacked Kings47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…5828backed Blue Jackets48c2,149$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9548…8d96backed Kings52c2,138$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf9…337ebacked Blue Jackets53c1,898$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd8a…5549backed Kings48c1,898$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blue Jackets60c1,833$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Blue Jackets34c1,781$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.2625552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Blue Jackets60c1,654$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Blue Jackets51c1,605$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.4614837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings49c1,586$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.5189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blue Jackets51c1,559$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.5391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets52c1,555$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.8489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Kings46c1,500$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a1…72c9backed Blue Jackets48c1,471$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Kings75c1,465$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b4…1e6bbacked Kings52c1,455$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdf…1710backed Kings48c1,427$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdaa…5c76backed Blue Jackets52c1,427$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings47c1,426$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.7827739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d7d…00d4backed Kings48c1,426$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dc…fa57backed Blue Jackets52c1,426$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…88f2backed Kings48c1,421$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf8…aabcbacked Blue Jackets52c1,421$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ec…5acdbacked Blue Jackets52c1,413$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0295…1998backed Kings48c1,413$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x658f…b671backed Kings48c1,406$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb192…5b5fbacked Blue Jackets52c1,406$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x598c…bb62backed Kings48c1,400$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e0…cfaabacked Blue Jackets52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cc…a7bfbacked Blue Jackets52c1,398$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a2…6351backed Kings48c1,398$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ba…2f34backed Blue Jackets52c1,385$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2c…0ab4backed Kings48c1,385$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…4a68backed Kings48c1,385$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4382…4bc3backed Blue Jackets52c1,385$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbab8…f007backed Blue Jackets47c1,383$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8513…1db5backed Kings48c1,381$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfc…b34fbacked Blue Jackets52c1,381$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ea…4bdabacked Kings53c1,378$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcebb…6a59backed Kings48c1,373$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f5f…ad45backed Blue Jackets52c1,373$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…46ccbacked Kings48c1,372$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d3…11e1backed Blue Jackets52c1,372$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+46.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.