NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e6964b8f1e324858c03b188faf74186d763523c9e2dbb68b4f571881a3268d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Blue Jackets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,662 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 2,421$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 62c | 1,475$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,038$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…9afebacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 880$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 63c | 628.66$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 69c | 600$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Kings | 63c | 399.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 69c | 377$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…2fdfbacked Kings | 69c | 370$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 302.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 299.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5066…2a37backed Kings | 69c | 275$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde40…7ad3backed Kings | 69c | 235$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kings | 70c | 216.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Kings | 77c | 194.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 63c | 189.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…0fd5backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 181$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Kings | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Kings | 67c | 148.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 51c | 142.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Kings | 79c | 131.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Kings | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 68c | 37.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 59c | 34.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Kings | 68c | 33.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…5d3dbacked Kings | 70c | 33.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 32.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Kings | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Kings | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…4400backed Kings | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Kings | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Kings | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Kings | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Kings | 69c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kings | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. Blue JacketsKings won
- Kings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.