NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eeca92e52a62d2c9cb2cbb488a037964429152a169b0f3004fd50d4f6d36df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,495 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 210.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 106.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 101.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 44c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…f63dbacked Over | 50c | 64.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…0e7bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 68c | 48.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 46c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d932backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 32c | 33.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. Blue JacketsKings won
- Kings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.