TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,887 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2764…fea3backed Yes54c27,939$15,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,851.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No46c19,121$8,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,706.674544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec0…9d94backed No46c14,769$6,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,793.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…4558backed No46c13,170$6,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,057.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c11,403$7,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.662,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No20c10,987$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.8984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes55c8,368$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.523360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No47c7,559$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,552.632951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes78c7,206$5,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.561963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.561650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No47c5,106$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No14c4,150$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.51450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c4,137$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.9625157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c3,790$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.753,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed No3c3,333$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Yes56c2,678$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No48c2,642$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2643250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No44c2,275$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0011526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes56c1,973$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8713959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No32c1,837$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8410061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No46c1,587$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7301526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4311449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes54c1,049$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c978.52$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3912955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes55c912.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.631963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes55c909.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2111127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No45c899.51$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7820132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No47c897.08$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5421835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200d…f117backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+86%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes55c867.27$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.279748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No18c777$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.971216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes54c741.63$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.632958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No44c700.47$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2211153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes75c630.23$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0514963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No16c625$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6317855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed No16c625$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0317958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No45c605.3$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.362630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2825856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2826046.7%28 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes54c578.29$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.315850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes60c574.41$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes53c561.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.782552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes56c535.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.83444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes56c524.61$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.834360.5%26 W · 17 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No13c458.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No43c390.43$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.252725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes55c385.38$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.383839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes54c315$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No23c308.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.846142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No45c307$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.044540%18 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes58c304$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1423461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes54c298.63$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.632133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No26c284.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No46c239.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0545135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes55c218.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.291030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf250…de38backed Yes52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes56c206.13$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1510761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes54c201.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+69%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No46c200.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes55c198.88$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.493461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Yes53c193.95$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed No47c193.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No46c192.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.293557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7473…ffcebacked Yes63c191.27$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes54c185.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.545554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes54c184.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.753161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x401d…94dcbacked No48c184$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad8…8944backed No48c184$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes53c183$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.012161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f21…f6a3backed No47c183$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes55c182.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.154546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed No11c182.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes54c180.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.921947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No46c179.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7819546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No30c178.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.793850%19 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c175.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf304…9a1dbacked No47c175$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c8…0eb5backed No48c173$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8946…aa24backed No46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c168.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6288048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…99b4backed No48c164$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes52c162.87$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No41c154.81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.862450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f71…65a3backed No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4620056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d2…7737backed No48c135$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767c…9aadbacked No47c134$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dfa…6665backed No47c132$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No39c129.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.341428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Yes60c117.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.225048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No16c111.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.414327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.112236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes54c108.7$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed No40c108.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.012035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.