Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1c467d1d90716f49599c4c009ab250f2301d317ee88308182bf87f26375dc60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,826 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ad…9636backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 2,144$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 2,090$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.81 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,415$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 12c | 962$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 13c | 887.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 751.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 15c | 666.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 15c | 666.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 11c | 566.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 26c | 554.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 24c | 477.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 26c | 294.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 4c | 249.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…4f2abacked Yes | 18c | 198$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 73c | 197.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 15c | 178.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes | 16c | 157.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 139.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 12c | 125.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 119.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 97.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Yes | 15c | 82.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 74c | 74.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 25c | 72.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.