TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb329…2a8c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$67.36
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+717.9%+$152.81
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.88
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.17
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.49
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$33.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.71
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$11.9
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$19.83
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$9.61
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.76
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.81
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
NK Celje vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.39
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.48
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.13
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$22.69
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+97%+$15.17
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.47
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+501.7%+$353.79
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$13.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santiago: Adolfo Vallejo vs Felipe Meligeni Alvesbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.63
Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Marcos Gironbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Phoenix: Darwin Blanch vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+135%+$36.95
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Phoenix: Blaise Bicknell vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs James Duckworthbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$16.65
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Petr Nesterovbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Hersonissos 2: Robin Bertrand vs Alex Rybakovbacked Robin Bertrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.62
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+53%+$8.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-82.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+95.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+434.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+434.2%+$66.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$10.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$6.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.