Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ccb4e70f84d79d6eab5108ca7ee87c55da55d8febe943c987da4a23864ce4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 3,600$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.45 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,608$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.82 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 1,804$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.74 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 1,655$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.16 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 61c | 1,655$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.21 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 28c | 1,060$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 893.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.48 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 880.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.46 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 663.74$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.59 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 24c | 631.07$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 616.38$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 570.61$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 63c | 556.92$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 553.49$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.51 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 509.26$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…7101backed Yes | 30c | 217.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 28c | 178$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 161$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 49c | 140.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 135.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 125.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 111.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 79.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…cd11backed Yes | 28c | 69.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 31c | 64.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 37c | 56.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 52.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Yes | 24c | 48.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 75c | 47.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 43.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 74c | 40.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed No | 79c | 39.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…21f5backed No | 79c | 34.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed Yes | 54c | 24.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked No | 72c | 22.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 72c | 22.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 74c | 19.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 68c | 18.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.