Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x789a922bc6b4fd9c3a05c93c247b613ad58483b6258f5621953ff2352343a84a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 40c | 6,391$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.16 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b0…dcd6backed Yes | 74c | 6,027$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 1,701$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.3 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 61c | 1,646$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.74 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 934.85$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.53 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 822.78$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.63 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 798.78$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.18 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…3d04backed Yes | 24c | 736.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 40c | 401.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.82 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked No | 60c | 346.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…328bbacked Yes | 65c | 339.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 34c | 323.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 305.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 43c | 233.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 223.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 39c | 213.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 41c | 209$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 39c | 142$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…9c1dbacked Yes | 68c | 111.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 28c | 105.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 47c | 96.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 45c | 95.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 52c | 64.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 73c | 64.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 858 | 47.8%410 W · 448 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 53c | 63.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 404 | 56.2%227 W · 177 L | +33.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 44c | 62.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 60.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 33c | 59.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…68a2backed Yes | 67c | 57.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 72c | 57.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed No | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 52.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 51.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed No | 60c | 49.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 60c | 47.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed No | 52c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4138backed Yes | 41c | 45.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed No | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 31.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked No | 34c | 29.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 40c | 26.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 586 | 45.4%266 W · 320 L | -23.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 65c | 24.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 311 | 24.8%77 W · 234 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.