Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34906b986c043d54a528bd5d6f8a99be9bb34b0440fa22ac9fe464711b359563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,007$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 1,499$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.54 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b0…dcd6backed Yes | 9c | 1,373$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 997.01$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 14c | 803.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…d1bfbacked Yes | 10c | 522$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 445.43$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed No | 68c | 347.06$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 284.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 34c | 231$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…92cdbacked Yes | 13c | 225$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 34c | 135.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 101.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 93.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1b73backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Yes | 14c | 83.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4138backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 65.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…7cbfbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 59.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…95e4backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 32c | 45.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 40.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed No | 69c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.