TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazaux

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arthur Cazauxof Jacob Fearnley, Arthur Cazaux
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,487 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Jacob Fearnley8c13,725$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.581,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jacob Fearnley10c12,279$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.696,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Jacob Fearnley41c12,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,92066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jacob Fearnley18c10,831$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.742,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…62bfbacked Arthur Cazaux41c5,333$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Jacob Fearnley37c5,070$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.6444038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arthur Cazaux41c4,951$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.431,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Cazaux54c3,608$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60d…0aa0backed Arthur Cazaux59c3,012$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056c…a69abacked Jacob Fearnley59c2,928$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.493650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Arthur Cazaux66c2,866$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.7212066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Arthur Cazaux50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20020847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacob Fearnley20c2,383$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.814,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Jacob Fearnley55c2,097$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.8846473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked Jacob Fearnley55c2,027$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Jacob Fearnley63c2,025$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2751,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Jacob Fearnley56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Jacob Fearnley59c1,961$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.061637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b0…bc12backed Jacob Fearnley18c1,803$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Jacob Fearnley46c1,769$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.2537854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jacob Fearnley33c1,678$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.432,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jacob Fearnley36c1,625$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.193,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Jacob Fearnley60c1,229$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.4711158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Arthur Cazaux43c1,187$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.7531753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Arthur Cazaux41c1,182$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.2311342.5%48 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arthur Cazaux62c1,174$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.486,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Cazaux76c1,146$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.188,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Jacob Fearnley59c1,113$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.854949%24 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Arthur Cazaux38c1,031$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.2443042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Jacob Fearnley44c1,018$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9265558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Jacob Fearnley50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50049252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Arthur Cazaux63c957.91$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.12,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Jacob Fearnley59c899.98$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.998555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Jacob Fearnley50c866$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43314540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Jacob Fearnley33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26416648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jacob Fearnley32c778.51$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Arthur Cazaux39c777.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.0238739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Arthur Cazaux67c734.54$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arthur Cazaux39c695.16$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.521,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Arthur Cazaux39c688.3$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.694763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224e…f7ddbacked Jacob Fearnley60c675$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058951.7%46 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c97…4d17backed Arthur Cazaux40c670.15$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.095236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Arthur Cazaux75c666.93$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3564065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arthur Cazaux59c659.42$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.87,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc576…49bcbacked Jacob Fearnley61c651.34$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Jacob Fearnley59c610$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.918247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a46…4262backed Jacob Fearnley41c569.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e3…22d5backed Jacob Fearnley58c558$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dd…776fbacked Arthur Cazaux72c547.22$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Arthur Cazaux40c530.42$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.791,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Jacob Fearnley44c527.26$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23112856.3%72 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1394…b8b6backed Jacob Fearnley59c525.12$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Jacob Fearnley62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Jacob Fearnley60c482.35$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4113450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Jacob Fearnley54c465.12$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.163366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe225…ee35backed Jacob Fearnley59c439$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Arthur Cazaux58c430.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.241,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Arthur Cazaux76c420.54$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.934245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Jacob Fearnley50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed Arthur Cazaux75c395.86$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522a…0076backed Jacob Fearnley64c392.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jacob Fearnley55c385.82$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.217,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Arthur Cazaux40c381.45$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.941,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b1…4559backed Arthur Cazaux70c379$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Jacob Fearnley54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Jacob Fearnley54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004332.6%14 W · 29 L-8.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Arthur Cazaux43c362.01$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0324637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Arthur Cazaux56c358.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.942548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jacob Fearnley36c355.39$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.536,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Jacob Fearnley59c350$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Jacob Fearnley28c347.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0412032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Jacob Fearnley54c342.23$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4610156.4%57 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jacob Fearnley46c329.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jacob Fearnley34c327.08$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.034,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Jacob Fearnley41c322$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733f…3d6fbacked Jacob Fearnley63c319.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Jacob Fearnley55c318$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.633651.5%173 W · 163 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Jacob Fearnley63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Jacob Fearnley57c310.53$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17719653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Arthur Cazaux40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18096755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc32…ea58backed Jacob Fearnley59c298.31$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Jacob Fearnley29c280.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Arthur Cazaux62c279.85$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9538147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…4135backed Jacob Fearnley30c257$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+62.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Arthur Cazaux39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4154450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Arthur Cazaux39c253.47$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.622,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Arthur Cazaux61c251.25$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.772,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Arthur Cazaux55c247.81$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.385660.7%34 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Arthur Cazaux41c240.77$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.772,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Arthur Cazaux42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.140264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Jacob Fearnley16c237.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3663…a364backed Arthur Cazaux74c236.22$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jacob Fearnley38c231.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.599,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Jacob Fearnley63c228.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2215151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Arthur Cazaux39c226.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.981,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3199…aec3backed Jacob Fearnley30c219$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fdd…09e9backed Jacob Fearnley18c211$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Jacob Fearnley59c205$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9599056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Jacob Fearnley56c201.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1134940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Jacob Fearnley49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.561,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.