TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x056c…a69a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W35 Barueri Women: Eduarda Gomes vs Maria Eduarda Carbone Dos Santosbacked Eduarda Gomes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$450
ITF W35 Barueri Women: Romina Ccuno vs Laura Badiabacked Romina Ccuno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$584.2
ITF W35 Barueri Women: Marina Bulbarella vs Agustina Soto Neirabacked Marina Bulbarella · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$632
ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Nicola Senn vs Victor Barreira Bonzombacked Victor Barreira Bonzom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,564.17
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Blu Baker vs Andrea de Marchibacked Andrea de Marchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+165.2%+$1,363.33
Prague 2 (Doubles): Hardt/Rodriguez vs Molchanov/Pavelbacked Hardt/Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900.73
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366.29
Prague 2: Florian Broska vs Sean Cueninbacked Florian Broska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,746.17
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Oscar Moraing vs Eliot Nobelbacked Eliot Nobel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Bienvenu Bolangi vs Tomas Vilacabacked Tomas Vilaca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.98
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Emma Mazzoni vs Danique Havermansbacked Danique Havermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,817.44
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,200
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$507
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$612.72
ITF Hameenlinna: Laura Hietaranta vs Klara Blazkovabacked Laura Hietaranta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$819.72
ITF Eupen: Simon Beaupain vs Nand Vandepoelebacked Simon Beaupain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,652.67
ITF Savitaipale: Natalia Klys vs Naoko Etobacked Natalia Klys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960.6
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
Hamburg European Open: Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.66
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
ITF Krsko: Veritsa Yaneva vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Marie Mettraux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.29
ITF Monastir: Aziz Dougaz vs Timofey Stepanovbacked Timofey Stepanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.72
ITF Rio Claro: Maria Herazo vs Ana Filipa Santosbacked Maria Herazo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$716
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Jong/Royer vs Golubev/Nedovyesovbacked Jong/Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$242.75
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$367.3
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-74.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,575.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.