Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: 555 (-1.5) vs Rival Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00f1c61a680e556d03f54b17fed73045cdfd7c694456dd2af55b3bbda476b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 555of 555, Rival Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,456 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rival Esports | 0c | 4,560$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed 555 | 39c | 2,942$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Rival Esports | 61c | 2,495$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.95 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Rival Esports | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed 555 | 57c | 330.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Rival Esports | 44c | 244.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Rival Esports | 59c | 211.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Rival Esports | 43c | 200.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…a69abacked 555 | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked 555 | 41c | 173.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rival Esports | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Rival Esports | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Rival Esports | 41c | 57.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rival Esports | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Rival Esports | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 555 | 58c | 27.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked 555 | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked 555 | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 555 (-1.5) vs Rival Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: 555 vs Rival Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs555 won
- Valorant: 555 vs Rival Esports - Map 1 Winner555 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.