Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 555 vs Rival Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b312b1cad949a3da0018e2fb42708a842d90ab6eb0407692bb69ee7b841852f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 555of 555, Rival Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,317 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rival Esports | 2c | 1,874$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 555 | 62c | 958.01$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rival Esports | 36c | 953.08$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked 555 | 63c | 677.12$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.54 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…a69abacked 555 | 74c | 653.66$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked Rival Esports | 24c | 462.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 555 | 67c | 406.01$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rival Esports | 29c | 368.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Rival Esports | 29c | 320.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rival Esports | 34c | 280.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…43acbacked Rival Esports | 37c | 270.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Rival Esports | 38c | 269.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 555 | 70c | 249.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed 555 | 62c | 220.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rival Esports | 30c | 201.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked 555 | 74c | 153.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rival Esports | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Rival Esports | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Rival Esports | 31c | 112.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…39b5backed Rival Esports | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Rival Esports | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rival Esports | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…2605backed 555 | 74c | 108.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Rival Esports | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Rival Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Rival Esports | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…6a5abacked Rival Esports | 31c | 92.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rival Esports | 13c | 91.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rival Esports | 29c | 87.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Rival Esports | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…434bbacked 555 | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rival Esports | 30c | 76.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…e0d2backed 555 | 78c | 63.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Rival Esports | 35c | 63.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rival Esports | 37c | 60.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Rival Esports | 36c | 52.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rival Esports | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed 555 | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Rival Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…8128backed Rival Esports | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked 555 | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 555 | 66c | 26.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Rival Esports | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Rival Esports | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 555 | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed 555 | 74c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed 555 | 79c | 20.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed 555 | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 555 vs Rival Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 555 (-1.5) vs Rival Esports (+1.5)555 won
- Valorant: 555 vs Rival Esports - Map 1 Winner555 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.