TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x256e…1867

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Players vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$18.23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$49
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.36
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.45
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 2 Winnerbacked DOGSENT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 1 Winnerbacked DOGSENT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked DOGSENT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs DOGSENT - Game 2 Winnerbacked DOGSENT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.03
Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Sharksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.01
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$19.21
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.35
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112%+$18.69
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.86
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.99
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$16.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.