Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x762059a3749933c41f78268d28d77e3180f623544374ed13f670f45dbb85e366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, DOGSENT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,600 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed DOGSENT | 21c | 5,045$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.62 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 2,284$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.02 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 1,100$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.93 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed DOGSENT | 17c | 1,063$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…25c8backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 1,054$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…c24ebacked DOGSENT | 28c | 1,053$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked DOGSENT | 27c | 1,044$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.84 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DOGSENT | 23c | 806.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 492.57$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.06 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 405.07$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked DOGSENT | 15c | 323.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed DOGSENT | 5c | 267.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 239.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed DOGSENT | 17c | 215.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DOGSENT | 11c | 208.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 206.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 205.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DOGSENT | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed DOGSENT | 27c | 162.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 342 | 45.6%156 W · 186 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…e011backed DOGSENT | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 144.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DOGSENT | 18c | 139.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 313 | 51.4%161 W · 152 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed DOGSENT | 16c | 131.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DOGSENT | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 110.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed DOGSENT | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed DOGSENT | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed DOGSENT | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked DOGSENT | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed DOGSENT | 28c | 76.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed DOGSENT | 27c | 54.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…28f6backed DOGSENT | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked DOGSENT | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 42.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…ebd5backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…95fdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…c244backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 23.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…492ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.