Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a5ce33077a3354283db0a94fc560ad8c23e956c11f5e444cec0e44fa8debc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, DOGSENT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,176 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 1,896$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.33 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.31 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked DOGSENT | 16c | 1,129$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DOGSENT | 41c | 921.14$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked DOGSENT | 6c | 520$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 478.05$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.91 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed DOGSENT | 49c | 429.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.39 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed DOGSENT | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked DOGSENT | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed DOGSENT | 29c | 342.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 309.91$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DOGSENT | 35c | 309.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed DOGSENT | 40c | 286.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DOGSENT | 26c | 283.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed DOGSENT | 39c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked DOGSENT | 7c | 158.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DOGSENT | 32c | 135.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 108.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked DOGSENT | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 92.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…af15backed DOGSENT | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked DOGSENT | 31c | 78.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DOGSENT | 35c | 71.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed DOGSENT | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked DOGSENT | 34c | 59.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed DOGSENT | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked DOGSENT | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed DOGSENT | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed DOGSENT | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed DOGSENT | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 33.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group BNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.