Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cabca70a394b94cff62d9f132af6e4a02c5f827d7585d49caf9faddda3f974c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, DOGSENT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,597 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed DOGSENT | 20c | 5,324$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.3 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 2,976$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.14 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked DOGSENT | 12c | 1,421$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked DOGSENT | 31c | 999$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 890$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 860.57$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed DOGSENT | 22c | 816$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked DOGSENT | 8c | 689.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DOGSENT | 36c | 676.02$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 638.67$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed DOGSENT | 18c | 567.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…67c9backed DOGSENT | 34c | 550$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 550$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 530$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed DOGSENT | 34c | 530$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 480.71$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DOGSENT | 19c | 473.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 432.84$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…af15backed DOGSENT | 13c | 390.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed DOGSENT | 35c | 360$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked DOGSENT | 5c | 272.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 251.41$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DOGSENT | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DOGSENT | 13c | 172.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 165.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 143.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed DOGSENT | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed DOGSENT | 34c | 115.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 111.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed DOGSENT | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DOGSENT | 21c | 81.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked DOGSENT | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed DOGSENT | 27c | 76.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…f901backed DOGSENT | 28c | 74.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed DOGSENT | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed DOGSENT | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed DOGSENT | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 28.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group BNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.