TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,550,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,550,222 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No65c308,926$199,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,160.756657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes37c134,786$49,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,511.0713245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c132,891$85,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,630.7763346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No65c111,854$73,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,654.333941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c98,659$36,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,052.4129846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No65c80,009$51,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,128.384641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd26e…6d8dbacked No65c64,998$42,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,749.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes27c64,878$17,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,552.2916136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No63c60,000$37,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,199.973633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes36c56,404$20,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,274.9526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No64c55,000$35,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,799.834654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes35c54,339$19,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,018.733036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c52,852$37,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,590.321,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes35c47,514$16,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,629.988258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes36c42,120$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2001060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c38,456$24,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,588.2859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes34c37,429$12,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,725.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c30,316$21,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,303.921,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes37c30,131$11,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1203871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes37c28,610$10,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,460.4529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes25c24,663$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,126.5458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No65c23,000$14,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0506643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No65c22,000$14,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.895352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes35c21,908$7,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,667.726344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No66c20,000$13,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9002040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No62c18,920$11,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,183.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No63c18,474$11,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,877.935944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No65c18,195$11,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,368.231838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes35c17,237$6,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.910736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes35c16,323$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.861241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes37c15,215$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7001163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4552…a271backed Yes36c14,299$5,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,147.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Yes35c14,286$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No65c14,000$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9728543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No63c13,500$8,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.285248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No63c13,200$8,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,897.445549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No65c13,087$8,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,580.4516144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No80c11,849$9,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.731968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes5c11,713$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.33525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes35c11,429$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes35c11,000$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,819.955347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.955550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No61c9,554$5,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes38c9,188$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes24c8,572$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.254325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes35c8,571$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes35c8,571$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003225%8 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes25c8,000$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.29944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes17c7,603$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29010628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No62c7,566$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.213839.5%15 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No63c7,000$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6252951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes36c7,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No64c7,000$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6a…509ebacked Yes36c6,893$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes33c6,660$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.831553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes6c6,653$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.485625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes35c6,504$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.3629136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No63c5,763$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.318848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c5,731$4,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.7746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f90…90ccbacked Yes35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes36c5,660$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.513453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No64c5,454$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No63c5,435$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.6129746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes35c5,388$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.692035%7 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x140a…7680backed Yes38c5,235$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a7…ffedbacked Yes55c5,040$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf84a…eea7backed Yes30c5,010$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No63c5,000$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87512249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes33c4,982$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.981643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No62c4,763$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.7434342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No65c4,505$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.438938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes29c4,488$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes13c4,395$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.038959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No65c4,354$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.451330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes26c4,219$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.43828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c4,205$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.933935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes59c4,096$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.033727%10 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d32…c05abacked Yes25c4,050$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No66c4,000$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3802860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4004346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9713548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes35c4,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9711743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No63c3,968$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.254951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No66c3,788$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.881250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb416…c7a1backed Yes31c3,718$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…baedbacked Yes1c3,647$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7852…3eabbacked Yes34c3,608$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.711250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes35c3,571$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a42…4930backed Yes3c3,429$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae60…6888backed Yes35c3,347$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No65c3,227$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.365446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes39c3,137$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde4…e2bebacked Yes35c3,033$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.961942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.954247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.