TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$489,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,953 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No74c100,308$74,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,076.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes26c96,154$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0003652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c42,493$27,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,290.7858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c37,887$25,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,072.741,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes55c20,114$11,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,021.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes23c15,194$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5003735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes59c12,448$7,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,370.551435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No75c12,267$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c11,730$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.911,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Yes31c9,573$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6a…509ebacked Yes23c8,305$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.452055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c7,165$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.2259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes22c6,261$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.312138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes25c5,600$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes26c5,385$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes21c4,971$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.362114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x140a…7680backed Yes25c4,764$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.65119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes26c3,638$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9461315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c3,300$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.483063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes25c3,268$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8171520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c3,069$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.2861447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.965145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes65c2,880$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.933851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a42…4930backed Yes4c2,757$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c2,694$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.4559136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c2,643$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.5646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c2,548$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.4712352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No54c2,335$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.068523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes8c2,247$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No74c2,208$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57428543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbab7…6ac6backed Yes79c2,089$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c2,083$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3317365.9%114 W · 59 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes26c2,077$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed No47c2,056$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.87742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9829136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes10c1,905$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf84a…eea7backed Yes70c1,808$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Yes64c1,797$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes7c1,714$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No75c1,683$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.7513453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c1,565$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.539750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c1,541$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4721460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No42c1,529$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.288859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c1,504$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.999754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes10c1,462$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3358.6%3 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No77c1,442$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Yes70c1,427$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.222650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c1,424$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.921190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes25c1,360$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No75c1,334$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.53050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes21c1,332$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.02446.8%3 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked No68c1,323$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x434e…e7aabacked Yes23c1,319$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c1,300$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.584233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes11c1,272$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.910648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c1,266$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5429445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fc…03b0backed Yes24c1,261$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No77c1,225$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.274647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes17c1,214$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No26c1,161$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.717132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes22c1,141$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505024%12 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes26c1,096$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.064845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes26c1,077$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked No76c1,076$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes28c1,068$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.184440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No75c1,059$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.675433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb416…c7a1backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes25c997.1$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2812935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No75c992.17$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.041662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes22c956.5$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.432152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes26c938.04$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9143427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No63c929.79$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.429550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes26c913.08$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes25c858$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.58243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes21c814.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9431…c484backed Yes24c799.72$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes25c791.18$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7114431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c788.89$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8150…d03fbacked Yes26c764.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.441428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes23c758$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.236536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes8c743.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.457444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ead…16d3backed Yes34c735.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+128.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No79c713.96$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.931163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes16c701.92$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…ffedbacked Yes32c700.63$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No46c672.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.424351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No75c668.67$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.171050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes7c657.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked No75c650$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Yes79c619.46$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No61c618.89$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.78840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.