TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,333 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3541…78debacked Over1c91,403$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.091172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over1c68,198$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over1c56,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over3c55,349$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.688470.2%59 W · 25 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under51c39,422$20,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,360.961580%12 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c34,498$17,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,903.994641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Over1c33,787$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.916344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over48c25,183$12,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,087.854654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under51c19,214$9,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,323.521540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c15,959$8,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,660.2634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Over35c13,934$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9003735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50f…3e7ebacked Over49c12,065$5,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,91210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c11,843$6,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.953641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c11,390$6,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.851,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9002040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over49c9,650$4,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,728.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c9,639$5,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,445.761,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c9,060$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.222128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over49c8,135$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9861656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over48c5,942$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.3726445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.816643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c4,594$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.943658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9313548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over1c3,611$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over49c3,587$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Over49c3,571$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over38c2,963$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.562128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c2,289$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.72040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Over50c2,007$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c8…3478backed Over50c2,001$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Under61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.992860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,970$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.4626047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under52c1,910$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c1,894$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under53c1,886$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x256e…1867backed Over3c1,845$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under65c1,708$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.762650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under63c1,627$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.8239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over49c1,380$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over45c1,334$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.725335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over1c1,333$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.664470.5%31 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Under51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58821938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x665a…174ebacked Over49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c1,085$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.56633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under57c1,048$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under54c1,036$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c1,008$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5423637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47513644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under51c999.91$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.965350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d9…5a08backed Over1c928.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c892.08$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c884.92$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3141238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over17c825$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2511843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c809.26$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.632528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Under70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over49c795.92$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over35c745.47$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.282040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over6c733$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.217365.9%114 W · 59 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under63c733$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.492748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over26c727.82$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under61c720$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.044637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Over73c704.97$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.146666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32913349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f3…9afbbacked Over3c689.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under70c689$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9513245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under53c685.6$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Over44c680.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6129…11c4backed Over34c669.34$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over50c659.38$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.691040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Under80c618.26$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.651637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under57c614.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.041586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under51c599.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.993961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under51c599.98$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over47c589.36$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2772245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over39c569.46$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.219841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x943c…1d17backed Under53c566.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under56c536$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.843754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over49c533.67$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.56163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Under52c524$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.762369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under51c514.67$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaec…a4d5backed Over49c507.77$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c506.28$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over50c500.12$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.062548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.