Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db122e0a78eaf4ee472763cd2166f4ab86cc1125e7c72c435991533f31688f3

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x25c5…8581backed Over	0c	17,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	14c	8,577$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.53	1,543	40.1%618 W · 925 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under	73c	6,876$4,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880.18	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	27c	5,886$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.91	260	47.7%124 W · 136 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	22c	4,737$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.35	2,025	43.7%884 W · 1,141 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	72c	2,190$1,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.87	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	30c	1,667$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	45	73.3%33 W · 12 L	+6.9wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under	80c	1,257$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.91	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.27per pick	55cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0050…336cbacked Under	72c	1,196$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.37	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	72c	1,181$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.56	220	54.1%119 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under	72c	1,041$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.41	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over	29c	999.99$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	72c	999.98$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	22c	903.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.04	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over	24c	832.52$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	17c	762.5$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.31	435	37.9%165 W · 270 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under	74c	584.81$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.35	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+6.4wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	71c	549.3$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.3	306	57.5%176 W · 130 L	+11.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	21c	503.44$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under	70c	499.99$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	106	58.5%62 W · 44 L	+9.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	28c	499.97$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.49	526	46.8%246 W · 280 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	30c	358.87$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.65	152	36.8%56 W · 96 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	29c	328.01$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.6	150	38.7%58 W · 92 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	72c	289.66$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.5	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c3…3a41backed Under	71c	288.45$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.65	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Under	71c	281.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under	72c	279.7$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.7	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	71c	251.95$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.07	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	30c	232.55$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.77	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	-12.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	17c	205.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	206	39.3%81 W · 125 L	+25.6wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under	72c	200$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.5	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d8…30d9backed Under	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	74cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under	80c	187.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Over	19c	173.07$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf0…0a05backed Over	24c	165.94$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under	79c	160$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43f…4758backed Under	71c	145.07$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.07	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740d…9967backed Under	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	11c	131$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	+10.1wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Over	11c	121.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bba…b20fbacked Over	23c	120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over	18c	119.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-4.0wins	-0.21per pick	63cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over	29c	89.23$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	70c	86$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x069c…a2f1backed Over	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	21c	79.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	236	37.3%88 W · 148 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under	70c	70.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under	71c	67.48$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Over	15c	66.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.8wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	28c	64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	676	49.4%334 W · 342 L	-15.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	17c	61.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	206	43.2%89 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under	70c	53.33$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	29c	52.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	404	50.7%205 W · 199 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over	30c	50.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x261c…d49dbacked Under	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7718…4c1bbacked Over	26c	49.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over	28c	35.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	170	45.9%78 W · 92 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc1…6b5bbacked Under	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+201.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Under	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad2…4c9ebacked Under	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2aa…2c12backed Under	77c	25.94$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.94	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd2…e809backed Under	70c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba89…0fefbacked Under	71c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	59cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95bb…288dbacked Under	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+148.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5this page
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Under won
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event