TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,074 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c34,638$11,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,305.591,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c10,386$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.2259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over71c6,422$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.8613245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Over71c5,630$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.72948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over69c5,297$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.023348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over71c4,248$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.973464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9915032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over69c3,764$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over71c3,524$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.533256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c3,500$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9920655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c3,100$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.0934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over69c2,879$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.044573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over72c2,779$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.4529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over70c2,772$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.593764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c2,661$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.8626047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c2,179$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.135552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over71c2,150$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c2,018$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.4646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.994020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.973161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over79c1,772$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.8159136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c1,674$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.491,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.417740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7951145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c1,468$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7342040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under30c1,347$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5315038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.992373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over71c1,018$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over50c999.97$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under29c791.11$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9940250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under46c767$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over68c733.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.913948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under30c717.66$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7448947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under29c619.41$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4215936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over55c609.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.492646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over68c590.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.431258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Under32c576.17$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over69c565.96$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.234835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under46c500$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.266428.1%18 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9929138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over70c499.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.996243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under30c499.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7312935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over68c477.64$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c450$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9943333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over68c420$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.345335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over60c418.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8617348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…20e7backed Over74c403$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545f…66dbbacked Over67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under29c378$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6216144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over55c361.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.43240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c358.64$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over78c334.95$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over70c327.72$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.327068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under35c316$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.834637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over79c302.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4813261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8725659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over71c296.4$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.971361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over68c292.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.366262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over71c281.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over71c281.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.65955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over71c280.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.032245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c275.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7341238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over50c272.29$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.152128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cde…610cbacked Under38c265.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over76c261.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.459556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c259.96$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.199653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over66c236.92$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.556065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over71c234.72$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.073464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over72c220$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.64665.2%30 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over58c218.97$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over66c205.8$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.974042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6f…cbcdbacked Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over68c196.76$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0220916.7%35 W · 174 L-36.8wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under35c192.62$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3120643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c190.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6263150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c180.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4624245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under29c179.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.30per pick28cpaid+81.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Over68c164.07$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over56c162.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.495100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over76c157.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6512269.7%85 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under30c157$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.115847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under29c156.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.441050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over79c154.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.