TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sporting CPof Sporting CP, FK Bodø/Glimt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,217 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP27c15,833$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,616.651,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sporting CP38c14,550$5,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,960.761,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt77c12,990$10,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,002.035466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed FK Bodø/Glimt53c4,914$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.482650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt72c2,222$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.925749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5209757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked FK Bodø/Glimt76c1,650$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.994346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Sporting CP24c1,579$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.395335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked FK Bodø/Glimt75c1,278$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.242665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Sporting CP26c1,258$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.915038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked FK Bodø/Glimt66c1,208$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002181%17 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FK Bodø/Glimt15c1,124$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3844033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked FK Bodø/Glimt74c841.74$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.6910849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt15c827$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0560136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0480…df94backed FK Bodø/Glimt75c731.53$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eea…ba4fbacked FK Bodø/Glimt76c659.72$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Sporting CP30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Sporting CP51c587.3$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Sporting CP33c582.84$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.51010%1 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-69.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Sporting CP24c576.67$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.27633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+88.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sporting CP24c566.21$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9735…8e3bbacked FK Bodø/Glimt75c537.72$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Sporting CP22c473.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.6242438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed FK Bodø/Glimt77c449.35$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3463959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed FK Bodø/Glimt74c432.4$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.94477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sporting CP28c420$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Sporting CP29c413.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.791346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed FK Bodø/Glimt75c400.11$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked FK Bodø/Glimt77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8918…8824backed FK Bodø/Glimt75c399.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sporting CP25c397.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0925659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FK Bodø/Glimt18c395.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9724545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked FK Bodø/Glimt77c388.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked FK Bodø/Glimt78c384.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed FK Bodø/Glimt77c374.95$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8813261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Sporting CP25c349.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.920133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Sporting CP50c348$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1744555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6c2ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt76c328.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501850%9 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed FK Bodø/Glimt77c318.87$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.533836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed FK Bodø/Glimt69c318.53$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.535349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3d29backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c308.16$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Sporting CP21c300.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.095442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5de…d0f4backed Sporting CP25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb056…40e1backed FK Bodø/Glimt75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed FK Bodø/Glimt78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c299.68$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.292470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked FK Bodø/Glimt71c279.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.451258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Sporting CP27c265$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Sporting CP27c259.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.662334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked FK Bodø/Glimt77c258.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004165.9%27 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Sporting CP14c233.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20111843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Sporting CP22c223.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3124047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0843…97f5backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c210.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed FK Bodø/Glimt75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Sporting CP50c189.36$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.681844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Sporting CP26c180.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8312935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed FK Bodø/Glimt78c172.46$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.382045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Sporting CP29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c164.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x106e…28e5backed Sporting CP23c162.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.042454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…bd81backed FK Bodø/Glimt58c161.52$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Sporting CP25c159.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6920643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Sporting CP34c153.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.523941%16 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked FK Bodø/Glimt70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed FK Bodø/Glimt66c149.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.382744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed FK Bodø/Glimt68c146.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Bodø/Glimt72c141.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8938253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Sporting CP25c139.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.939948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed FK Bodø/Glimt74c135.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.633743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sporting CP27c134.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3613245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f3…d3fdbacked FK Bodø/Glimt76c132.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Sporting CP25c130.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1215847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked FK Bodø/Glimt75c130$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.511646.6%54 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed FK Bodø/Glimt78c128.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked FK Bodø/Glimt79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Sporting CP37c119.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.423842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked FK Bodø/Glimt71c113.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012269.7%85 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sporting CP24c109$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Sporting CP33c108.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Sporting CP47c107.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.023655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7162…f2b3backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c105.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt78c105.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.966950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed FK Bodø/Glimt19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.124637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sporting CP24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sporting CP30c98.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.517053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Sporting CP51c98.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.176435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked FK Bodø/Glimt53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Sporting CP25c92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Sporting CP18c90$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c85.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c84.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.041030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed FK Bodø/Glimt76c83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.324447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Sporting CP26c81.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4611650%58 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Sporting CP31c80.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.751070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+59.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Sporting CP25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Sporting CP50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed FK Bodø/Glimt26c77.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162817.9%5 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.