TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95bb…288d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winnerbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.24
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+197.4%+$39.48
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$24.63
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs DRX Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.25
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$6.2
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$26.99
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.69
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+30%+$12.86
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.56
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$24.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+160.3%+$59.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+249.1%+$42.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.4
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$9.94
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+148.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+2,080.7%+$490.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$37.41
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+80%+$9.27
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$17.28
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$27.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+225.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$15.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AEK vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.