Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd222e739903e92f95341ca9334cebba2c928d098f28534ae6fb144b6d21527e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 4,599$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.93 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 44c | 2,555$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.45 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,926$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 1,533$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,381$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,232$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 789.95$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 478.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 80c | 474$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 389$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 57c | 276.24$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 221.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 197$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…2b66backed Yes | 6c | 179.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 173.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 21c | 159.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 20c | 129.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 22c | 127.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 46c | 106.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 72.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 69.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 54c | 63.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d00ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 43c | 34.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 29.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 66c | 25.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 72c | 23.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 62c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed No | 53c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 78c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.