Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa03fb6bd910ebc64d9ba9aaafca2478cf2be2f3bf7507cade066fa2b59d36745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 9,741$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 5,159$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.92 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 12c | 2,465$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,793$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 1,508$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 1,365$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.12 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 519.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 20c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 353.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…3f2fbacked Yes | 20c | 339.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 17c | 275.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 20c | 265.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 18c | 240$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…7fcabacked Yes | 15c | 226.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 211.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 19c | 200.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Yes | 19c | 182.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 20c | 137.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 20c | 125.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 19c | 105.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…fbd1backed Yes | 20c | 81.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 19c | 66.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 23c | 65.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 23c | 62.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 20c | 60.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…64b1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…542ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed No | 80c | 46.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 80c | 32.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 29.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.