Champions League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b85b264338661a3ad219128634978a32ca1197b066ac57335cd979081bb16de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 62c | 184,468$114,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,370.37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 38c | 158,063$60,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,998.79 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 55c | 66,118$36,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,840.82 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 59,067$27,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,756.79 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 57c | 52,968$30,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,191.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 41c | 25,161$10,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,953.31 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 45c | 21,100$9,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,494.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 48c | 18,711$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,811.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 6,951$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.74 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Over | 45c | 6,463$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 6,117$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.8 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 44c | 4,300$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…7680backed Over | 47c | 4,250$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 4,183$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.14 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.97 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 45c | 3,220$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 45c | 2,765$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 2,751$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.29 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,363$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.41 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 46c | 2,296$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 51c | 2,160$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Over | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 28c | 1,811$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 58c | 1,766$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,597$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.61 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 3c | 1,572$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 45c | 1,553$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.45 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 66c | 1,526$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 295 | 40.3%119 W · 176 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…0ca8backed Over | 46c | 1,113$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 66c | 1,039$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 1,035$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 55c | 1,025$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 45c | 958.88$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 55c | 943.64$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 27c | 912.39$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 56c | 889.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 21c | 853.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 68c | 807.5$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…e0fabacked Over | 46c | 730$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 69c | 723.65$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed Under | 55c | 710$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 44c | 699.94$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.97 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…32a2backed Under | 55c | 680$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 39c | 670.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.92 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…aa17backed Over | 46c | 660$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 46c | 655$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 651$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.76 | 261 | 45.6%119 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 45c | 626$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 611.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 465 | 33.8%157 W · 308 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 569.24$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 448 | 37.7%169 W · 279 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 58c | 557$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 55c | 527.27$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 506.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 491.36$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 43c | 488.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 469.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 35c | 468.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 40c | 456.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 57c | 428.91$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Over | 7c | 413$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Under | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 44c | 399.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 69c | 392.13$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Under | 56c | 387.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 376.24$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 44c | 369.04$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 55c | 362.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 355$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Over | 3c | 334.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 55c | 334.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…d896backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 54c | 331$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.