Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96abd8133b81e496b6581eefe622e3fd1eb485dfd7c3d02b81ead15072b9789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Chelsea FC, Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 5,188$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Chelsea FC | 18c | 3,834$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chelsea FC | 23c | 2,229$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.51 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Chelsea FC | 20c | 1,249$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 746$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 76c | 641.61$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 616.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Chelsea FC | 26c | 562$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 400.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Chelsea FC | 28c | 381$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 339.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 72c | 305.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Chelsea FC | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 277.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 73c | 253.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…96c9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 200.36$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Chelsea FC | 24c | 166$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…38aebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 133.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 121$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chelsea FC | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Chelsea FC | 26c | 113.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Chelsea FC | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 73c | 109.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 74c | 101.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Chelsea FC | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Chelsea FC | 27c | 91.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Chelsea FC | 23c | 85.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 77c | 75.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 74c | 66.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +101%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Chelsea FC | 23c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 42.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Chelsea FC | 25c | 42.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 29.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.