TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked Over30c70,122$21,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,036.362360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c40,161$28,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,785.831,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under70c16,641$11,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,99634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under71c4,225$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.254365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under69c2,460$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.7546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over31c2,019$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Over1c1,402$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over26c1,225$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.475322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under74c1,200$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3142373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over43c1,162$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.844647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over32c1,111$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over28c1,007$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27913234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under72c938.14$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ce…286abacked Over37c815.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c597.78$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.21,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over31c552.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.696331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca4…51cebacked Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under73c424.79$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8426645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…670bbacked Under76c413.04$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edc…926abacked Over24c413.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over25c408$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under75c403$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0113245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under71c353.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5212935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under75c334$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7929350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under71c325.01$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1320643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under71c320.42$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9230657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Over28c300.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853828.9%11 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Under67c299.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.882536%9 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c3…3a41backed Under67c281.27$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under73c279.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.620644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over27c278$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.545123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over30c266.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over26c253.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0340350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over27c248.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.250247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over30c234.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8815038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c227.69$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6921217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x21c0…e4c7backed Over31c218.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.261050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under73c204.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.23754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over44c202.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.676157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over31c156.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.594632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x513f…041cbacked Over25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+96.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x740d…9967backed Under75c133.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62cf…6c71backed Over27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c127.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.567861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58ca…f67abacked Under65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under61c120.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8321443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Over27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303020%6 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb7…5b8cbacked Over26c109.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-61%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…b7c6backed Over26c109$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over44c104.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302650%13 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2620042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+56.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205225%13 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.675738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Under74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over30c93.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.014845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a95…23cfbacked Under59c88.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Under70c61.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.495050%25 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under62c57.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.913941%16 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c57.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9827450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c56.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9442438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303650%18 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over53c52.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under65c50.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261c…d49dbacked Under72c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7718…4c1bbacked Over26c49.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…43d4backed Under58c46.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x769d…827bbacked Under74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…b20fbacked Over27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under79c43.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1222356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over28c40.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Over27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…e809backed Under73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.72875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538f…c871backed Under74c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.