TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c27…494b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT283.6%1 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+429.1%+$102.98
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.86
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.93
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.51
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.03
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.03
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.17
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick21cpaid+143.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.13
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+1,100.7%+$275.17
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+747.1%+$373.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+525%+$105
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+300%+$60
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.