La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0ea5f3568be8551674431aa5dbc32d564ce667e24d333392cd283aaa736046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $997,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,189,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 730 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 44c | 143,698$62,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,997.18 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 108,729$30,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,286.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 108,661$61,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,314.48 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 74,773$41,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,304.28 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 43c | 73,027$31,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,415.09 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 44c | 35,272$15,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,519.85 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 55c | 30,689$16,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,929.98 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 46c | 30,031$13,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,814.3 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 44c | 29,150$12,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,706.17 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 25,143$11,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,767.95 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 55c | 20,508$11,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,228.62 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 54c | 19,316$10,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,857.92 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 17,346$5,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,785.34 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…4950backed Yes | 55c | 16,230$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 75c | 15,357$11,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.22 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 44c | 14,687$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Yes | 55c | 12,968$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…28e6backed Yes | 77c | 11,975$9,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 56c | 11,704$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 44c | 11,336$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.9 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed Yes | 80c | 10,364$8,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.66 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 6c | 9,008$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 76c | 8,799$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.51 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 24c | 8,561$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.68 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 8,498$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.62 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 7,045$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.23 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 57c | 6,670$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 57c | 6,271$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.71 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 5,724$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.68 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 55c | 5,626$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 76c | 5,608$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 5,444$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.8 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 44c | 4,981$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.46 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 56c | 4,964$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 4,696$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.37 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 56c | 4,494$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 44c | 4,421$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.06 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 57c | 4,235$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 6c | 4,213$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 4,124$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.58 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 43c | 4,055$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.7 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 42c | 3,945$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 56c | 3,573$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 28c | 3,565$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.33 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 6c | 3,159$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 44c | 3,095$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.17 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 57c | 3,004$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes | 57c | 2,982$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…1f90backed Yes | 54c | 2,818$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Yes | 58c | 2,454$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 53c | 2,257$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed No | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 55c | 2,178$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 77c | 2,131$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…9abfbacked Yes | 53c | 2,024$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 78c | 1,904$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yes | 72c | 1,898$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 56c | 1,890$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.59 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 1,882$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.95 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 54c | 1,839$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 47c | 1,827$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…aa61backed Yes | 56c | 1,779$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,678$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.49 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 54c | 1,645$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 42c | 1,467$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.14 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 46c | 1,391$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…21b4backed Yes | 57c | 1,388$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…f5f9backed Yes | 54c | 1,310$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 57c | 1,267$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.67 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked No | 27c | 1,184$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 57c | 1,178$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,158$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.33 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 18c | 1,049$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 70c | 1,030$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.76 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Yes | 56c | 1,020$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…4f06backed Yes | 54c | 1,004$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 76c | 986.84$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 54c | 964$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.44 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 57c | 962.72$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 22c | 958$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.