La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f2820db73008d77f203c27c8e47e458db9f09057d712648e94d79a8070b51b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,031$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 9,489$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.08 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 79c | 8,499$6,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked No | 79c | 6,330$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 22c | 4,600$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 23c | 3,980$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.93 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 19c | 3,895$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.97 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 22c | 3,085$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.63 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 2,846$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.14 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 2,842$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.71 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…389ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,609$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 21c | 2,558$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 2,396$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.57 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 21c | 2,222$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…1c2cbacked No | 80c | 2,002$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 1,832$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.56 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,543$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 3c | 1,528$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…1c85backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…315cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 21c | 1,404$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Yes | 9c | 1,389$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 1,298$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.89 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…aca8backed No | 79c | 1,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed No | 79c | 1,263$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 19c | 1,166$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 78c | 1,150$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.92 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 20c | 1,103$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.54 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,037$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 19c | 999.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 78c | 934.91$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -83%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 1c | 803.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 2c | 799.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 21c | 783.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…f933backed Yes | 1c | 669.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 650.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 3c | 628$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 613.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 20c | 533.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 531.53$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 21c | 523.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…a866backed Yes | 22c | 486.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 20c | 451.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 78c | 448.86$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 395.2$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 76c | 383.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 79c | 380.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 348.86$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 78c | 339.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed No | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed Yes | 5c | 313.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 79c | 239.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 80c | 238.59$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 233.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 6c | 226.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa170…fba0backed Yes | 8c | 204.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 78c | 204$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…9e03backed No | 78c | 200.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…e3ebbacked No | 79c | 192.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…fccdbacked Yes | 21c | 139.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 21c | 138.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 22c | 135$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 80c | 128.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0f…5fadbacked No | 79c | 126.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 22c | 121.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 79c | 118.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 74c | 116.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…c1f4backed No | 78c | 115$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5e79backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.