La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc046f67c2497f1455bc18a9080cf7bba858191b69fe207549b502538f187b279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…bc23backed No | 79c | 22,859$18,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 13,122$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.44 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 5,854$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.35 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 22c | 3,010$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.3 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…2886backed Yes | 2c | 2,707$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 2,361$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.77 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,972$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.79 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 77c | 1,892$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 1,438$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 20c | 1,120$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…b052backed Yes | 6c | 1,104$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 6c | 866.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 24c | 836.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 613$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 504.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…1c85backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…34e9backed Yes | 24c | 400.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 77c | 389$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 24c | 372$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 15c | 298$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 78c | 253.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…acb5backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 76c | 203.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 199.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 6c | 193.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 7c | 181.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…c27ebacked Yes | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 77c | 148$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…2551backed Yes | 18c | 127.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 27c | 112.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 25c | 95.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 22c | 91.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…1638backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…ed11backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed No | 76c | 80.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…ee09backed Yes | 24c | 46.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 76c | 45.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 76c | 44.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 76c | 41.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…fdd5backed No | 77c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 76c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…a081backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.