TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3776…73c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 50 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team zoneR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+104.5%+$181.94
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40.41
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$347.97
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$105.7
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+212.5%+$637.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$692
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+130.7%+$575.38
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+83.9%+$106.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100.71
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$238
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$266
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$252.17
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$44.33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.7%+$58.55
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$94.13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.14
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$53.51
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$37.69
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.24
Will Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+260.2%+$252.39
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,342.72
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$705.26
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50.28
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$228.4
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$329.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+132.7%+$20.03
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200.19
Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.