TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Liquid, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Liquid49c19,051$9,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,715.8421051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid59c15,364$9,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,231.974,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Astralis51c13,824$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,050.474858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Astralis32c10,562$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.132425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis21c10,433$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.1181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x262b…2aacbacked Astralis50c8,114$4,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,033.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis45c7,035$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.041,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis40c7,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82027133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Astralis52c5,020$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59257647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid52c4,825$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.146949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Liquid39c4,366$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.53633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Astralis18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7206432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Liquid48c3,346$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.944850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid56c2,998$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.831,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis48c2,939$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.2664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd30…81fbbacked Astralis35c2,617$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.6570%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis67c2,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9946345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf1…5c57backed Astralis46c2,180$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002528%7 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Astralis49c2,040$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Liquid73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Liquid53c1,900$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.9975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Liquid62c1,771$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.4210951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Liquid53c1,629$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.6658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Astralis41c1,218$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.899037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid52c1,177$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Astralis51c1,176$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.4912648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e42…3559backed Liquid52c1,146$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.27988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Liquid44c1,144$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.696648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228a…1094backed Astralis51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c8e5backed Liquid49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Liquid68c1,064$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.518446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Liquid49c1,017$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6713460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Liquid55c1,010$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.531250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Astralis44c999.96$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9816033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507f…ff28backed Astralis43c989.05$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Liquid52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Liquid32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a2…4a13backed Liquid53c871.64$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.64825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Astralis45c824.71$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.124634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Liquid52c803.98$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Astralis47c793.62$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3734562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Liquid66c675$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23058961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d6…0c2abacked Liquid54c664.81$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8111032.7%36 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Liquid54c650.44$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.048366.3%55 W · 28 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Astralis49c612.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid49c612.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640f…f197backed Astralis17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004122%9 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Astralis54c556.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis49c544$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Liquid49c532.04$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0426438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Liquid55c524.64$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6435550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e08…3d14backed Astralis49c515.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liquid52c514.72$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.533,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis57c506.2$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9232352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Astralis48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Liquid53c490.04$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.623246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Astralis63c455.34$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7213461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Astralis49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6113…2443backed Liquid63c400$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.325738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Liquid53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked Astralis42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16825350.2%127 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked Liquid51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Astralis27c363.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Liquid56c355.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3620050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis51c351.73$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.771,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Liquid59c349.63$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6815743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…c453backed Liquid48c316.94$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.811136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b10…5548backed Liquid58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263920.5%8 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe599…0dd3backed Liquid49c287.44$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.941233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad3…1ad5backed Liquid50c283.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.445435.2%19 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Liquid31c270$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.560838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Liquid75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6725070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Liquid54c254.71$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7139353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Liquid52c239.39$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.919141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Astralis45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Astralis55c217.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ac…acdcbacked Astralis19c211.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Astralis8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Liquid52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Liquid40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12031933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Astralis35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Astralis43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1071…42cebacked Astralis25c190.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.044346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed Liquid44c183.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8924155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Astralis49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4d…d116backed Liquid28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574637%17 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b22…e5f7backed Liquid56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9880…82d6backed Liquid57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54b4…5193backed Liquid49c174.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896454.7%35 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Astralis58c173.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb10…bdd3backed Liquid30c166.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.426344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Liquid63c163.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4926360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Astralis25c154.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.592317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Liquid51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…e1c8backed Astralis47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.13234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Astralis74c136.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523116.1%5 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liquid56c133.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.169863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.