CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe513716001120e659b4f6499c1b12ccd0183e7dbb43697abc7d247c7a59240fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Astralis | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.97 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…da1ebacked Astralis | 1c | 6,548$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Astralis | 61c | 6,200$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.15 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 56c | 6,112$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.69 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…8e6abacked Astralis | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Astralis | 14c | 5,811$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.21 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis | 12c | 5,428$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.07 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Astralis | 60c | 5,287$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.85 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 15c | 5,046$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.79 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Liquid | 39c | 4,653$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.34 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Liquid | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 41c | 3,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 60c | 3,494$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.64 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Liquid | 45c | 3,322$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid | 57c | 3,172$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.08 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis | 8c | 3,088$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Liquid | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Liquid | 41c | 2,379$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.77 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Liquid | 41c | 2,250$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.12 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Astralis | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Astralis | 25c | 1,626$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…5c57backed Astralis | 31c | 1,618$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.78 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 8c | 1,583$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Liquid | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Astralis | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Astralis | 51c | 1,383$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 59c | 1,332$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 67c | 1,311$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.99 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Astralis | 15c | 1,280$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…645bbacked Liquid | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Astralis | 59c | 1,155$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.87 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Astralis | 16c | 1,076$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Liquid | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 9c | 999.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…321dbacked Astralis | 38c | 991.71$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed Astralis | 57c | 890$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c8e5backed Liquid | 43c | 890$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid | 60c | 857.47$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.36 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 41c | 776.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis | 21c | 759.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Liquid | 40c | 753.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.36 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Liquid | 58c | 736.06$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Liquid | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Astralis | 58c | 687.93$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked Astralis | 28c | 683.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…cfedbacked Astralis | 40c | 617.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.38 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Astralis | 61c | 613.34$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.14 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Liquid | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis | 57c | 550.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…5548backed Astralis | 17c | 549.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Liquid | 59c | 540.6$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bf…fd64backed Astralis | 13c | 502.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed Liquid | 80c | 484.4$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…dddabacked Astralis | 4c | 484.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Astralis | 10c | 478.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Astralis | 18c | 476.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked Astralis | 21c | 460.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Liquid | 43c | 407.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Astralis | 61c | 387.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed Astralis | 23c | 345.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid | 41c | 342$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Astralis | 22c | 321.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Astralis | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Astralis | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Astralis | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed Astralis | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Liquid | 67c | 299.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Astralis | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked Astralis | 50c | 261.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed Astralis | 59c | 259.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Astralis | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Astralis | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 21cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Astralis | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Liquid | 77c | 241.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…e650backed Astralis | 38c | 233.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Astralis | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 519 | 49.1%255 W · 264 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…1ba3backed Liquid | 40c | 217.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +197%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked Astralis | 36c | 213.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Astralis | 57c | 212.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Astralis | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Astralis | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Liquid | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Astralis | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…6820backed Astralis | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked Astralis | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed Astralis | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Astralis | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…9b6cbacked Astralis | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Astralis | 51c | 195.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Liquid | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Astralis | 19c | 175.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liquid | 78c | 170.07$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Liquid | 60c | 166.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cd8cbacked Astralis | 10c | 156.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Astralis | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.