CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0adcf3855a9fbf08375d366f80dd5d13705b795c23342b72b4db17915df6614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 51c | 5,020$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.96 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 39c | 3,923$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 52c | 3,835$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 31c | 1,855$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Over | 49c | 1,649$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.94 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 49c | 1,559$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.01 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Over | 50c | 1,389$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 589.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 47c | 523.93$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 520.05$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 43c | 461.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 12c | 312$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 61c | 293.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Over | 51c | 196.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 52c | 178.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Under | 53c | 152.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 51c | 126.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Over | 51c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed Under | 57c | 102.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 54c | 101.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Under | 53c | 91.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…75bfbacked Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Under | 53c | 75.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Under | 52c | 75.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…b38ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 44c | 59.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 44.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…b6aabacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…99a2backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Over | 51c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Over | 27c | 38.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Over | 49c | 37.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…8a67backed Over | 51c | 35.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…a298backed Under | 54c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…d681backed Over | 50c | 25.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 50c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Under | 66c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.