CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c6c08f8a2757650daea86bbe863aaf9d06c6e6cd9c83fe0cd605af33d577c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $852,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,034,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $852,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Liquid | 44c | 109,156$47,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,364.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Liquid | 44c | 96,855$43,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,773.43 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Liquid | 51c | 65,816$33,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,472.26 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis | 56c | 30,100$16,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,826.97 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Astralis | 55c | 27,270$15,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,075.62 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Liquid | 64c | 26,581$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,580.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 56c | 21,429$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Astralis | 55c | 20,146$11,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,136.66 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Astralis | 36c | 15,289$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.27 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Astralis | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 31c | 13,675$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.97 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Astralis | 55c | 13,660$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Astralis | 56c | 13,106$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,329.28 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 49c | 12,389$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.72 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Astralis | 55c | 12,083$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.41 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 29c | 11,615$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.8 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Astralis | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid | 45c | 9,891$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.87 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Liquid | 74c | 9,889$7,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Liquid | 42c | 9,254$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.05 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Liquid | 59c | 9,000$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.98 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Astralis | 53c | 8,888$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.06 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Astralis | 56c | 8,286$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Astralis | 56c | 8,075$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis | 56c | 7,894$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.74 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Astralis | 55c | 7,822$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.44 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Astralis | 56c | 7,646$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.73 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 30c | 7,428$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.46 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Astralis | 56c | 7,103$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.41 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Astralis | 56c | 6,868$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Liquid | 59c | 6,130$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.62 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Astralis | 56c | 6,113$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid | 71c | 6,074$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.87 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 45c | 6,002$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 24c | 5,999$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.34 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Astralis | 27c | 5,885$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.17 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 56c | 5,667$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.38 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed Astralis | 36c | 5,655$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.56 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 61c | 5,648$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.63 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Astralis | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.24 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Liquid | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.98 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Liquid | 64c | 5,498$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.27 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Astralis | 56c | 5,256$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.36 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Liquid | 72c | 5,020$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.6 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Astralis | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Astralis | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Astralis | 55c | 4,908$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Liquid | 60c | 4,855$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.63 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Liquid | 45c | 4,677$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.54 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Astralis | 56c | 4,677$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.12 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Liquid | 45c | 4,433$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Astralis | 55c | 4,370$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Astralis | 55c | 4,243$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.16 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid | 50c | 4,225$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Liquid | 68c | 4,090$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed Astralis | 56c | 4,072$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.22 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Astralis | 34c | 4,000$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.82 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis | 29c | 3,914$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.19 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Astralis | 55c | 3,878$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Liquid | 42c | 3,830$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.4 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Liquid | 67c | 3,693$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.71 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Liquid | 45c | 3,623$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.78 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Liquid | 51c | 3,623$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Liquid | 44c | 3,584$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.25 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Astralis | 56c | 3,565$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.29 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Astralis | 47c | 3,549$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Astralis | 56c | 3,482$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.92 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…ae0fbacked Astralis | 56c | 3,357$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Astralis | 9c | 3,289$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.39 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Astralis | 40c | 3,033$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.23 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.97 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Liquid | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.97 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Astralis | 24c | 2,966$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.1 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 29c | 2,956$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.16 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Liquid | 57c | 2,900$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.98 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Astralis | 34c | 2,893$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.61 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 51c | 2,549$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.79 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Astralis | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Astralis | 56c | 2,414$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.09 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…d5cabacked Liquid | 43c | 2,406$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…b508backed Astralis | 55c | 2,400$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Astralis | 44c | 2,289$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Liquid | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…c4a5backed Liquid | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Liquid | 72c | 2,197$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Astralis | 56c | 2,186$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Astralis | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Astralis | 56c | 2,125$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Liquid | 45c | 2,113$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.33 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Astralis | 21c | 2,111$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.32 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked Liquid | 54c | 2,045$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.93 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Liquid | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Liquid | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Astralis | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Astralis | 56c | 2,000$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 29c | 1,990$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.96 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Astralis | 56c | 1,977$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.57 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Liquid | 64c | 1,908$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.86 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.